07/03/2009 - Wimbledon, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Five-time champion Roger Federer and two-time runner-up Andy Roddick will do battle in Sunday's men's final at Wimbledon. The iconic Federer will appear in a men's record seventh straight Wimbledon championship match.
The second-seeded former world No. 1 Federer topped 24th-seeded German Tommy Haas 7-6 (7-3), 7-5, 6-3, while a sixth-seeded former top-ranked Roddick upended third-seeded heavy British crowd favorite Andy Murray 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 (9-7), 7-6 (7-5) at the storied All England Club.
Federer, who would supplant his great rival Rafael Nadal atop the men's rankings with a victory on Sunday, beat Roddick in the 2004 and 2005 finals here.
The Swiss Federer titled here from 2003-2007 and was last year's runner-up to Nadal in arguably the greatest tennis match of all-time.
The great Federer is trying to become the men's all-time leader in Grand Slam singles titles, as he's currently tied with American great Pete Sampras at 14. The super Swiss equaled Sampras and became the sixth man in history to complete a career Grand Slam when he titled at the French Open last month.
Federer will also appear in a men's record 20th Grand Slam final (14-5). He's reached 16 of the last 17 major finals.
With tennis luminaries such as Rod Laver and Bjorn Borg in attendance on Friday, a confident Federer snuck out an ultra-tight first set against Haas by cruising in the tiebreak on Day 11 of the fortnight.
In the second set, things were air-tight again, but Federer finally broke through on his third set point when a game Haas misfired long with a forehand in the 12th game of the stanza.
Federer then charged across the finish line in the third set and converted on his first match point with a resounding overhead smash winner, as the Swiss notched his 10th love service game of the day in the process.
The sublime Swiss, who couldn't have served any better than he did on Friday, advanced in 2 hours, 2 minutes and never faced a break point. Federer broke Haas only twice, but also fired 21 more winners (49-28) en route to victory, his 18th straight on the circuit.
"He just comes up with the goods, you know," Haas said. "He can play defensive and turn it into offensive so quick, like no other player, and that makes him so extremely tough."
Federer is now 10-2 all-time against Haas, including wins in their last nine meetings. The 31-year-old former world No. 2 Haas was appearing in his first- ever Wimbledon semifinal in 11 trips here. He's also played in three Aussie Open semis, losing all three.
Haas, who lost to Federer in the fourth round at the French Open last month, had been a perfect 10-0 on grass this year, including his first-ever grass- court title in his native Germany just three weeks ago.
The 27-year-old Federer played in a record 21st straight Grand Slam semifinal on Friday, and he's now won seven straight at the AEC.
Federer is 46-1 at Wimbledon and 71-1 on grass overall since 2003.
The reigning French Open and five-time U.S. Open titlist Federer is 59-22 in his career finals, including a 2-1 mark this year. He lost to Nadal in the Aussie Open finale back in January.
Meanwhile, the former U.S. Open champion Roddick reached his fifth career Grand Slam final (1-3) and his first since the 2006 U.S. Open by ousting the 2008 U.S. Open runner-up Murray in 3 hours, 7 minutes. The big-hitting American struck fewer aces (25-21) and fewer winners (76-64) than Murray on Friday, but was able to sneak out a pair of tiebreaks to pull the upset.
Roddick won the first set by breaking Murray in the final game of the stanza, but the Dunblane, Scotland native pulled even in the second set by breaking Roddick for a 5-4 lead and the holding his serve to secure it.
The determined Roddick, by virtue of a break, jumped out to a 5-2 lead in the third set, only to see Murray get the break back and ultimately level the frame at 5-5. The set went to a tiebreak, which Roddick won in 16-point fashion when Murray netted a forehand.
In the fourth and final set, Roddick nailed down another tiebreak by converting on his second match point, as he improved to 3-6 lifetime against Murray. Roddick also improved to 26-4 in his 2009 tiebreaks.
Both players could manage only two service breaks apiece in the tight affair.
Roddick is now 34-8 lifetime at Wimbledon.
Murray was trying to give Britain its first male Wimbledon champion in 73 years (Fred Perry) and was the highest-seeded Brit here since Roger Taylor in 1973.
The 26-year-old Roddick is 27-15 in 42 career finals, including a 1-1 record this season. He lost to Murray in a final in Doha in January.
Federer is a lopsided 18-2 lifetime against Roddick, including a perfect 3-0 mark this year. The Swiss handled the American in the Aussie Open semifinals back in January and is a flawless 3-0 against Roddick in major finals. In addition to the '04 and '05 Wimbledon finals, Federer also topped Roddick in the 2006 U.S. Open finale. The Swiss also defeated the American in the 2003 Wimbledon semis.
The 2009 Wimbledon champ will pocket $1.39 million. Federer is the all-time leader in prize money, with more than $48 million earned.
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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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