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09/05/2007 - Las Vegas, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The fifth-ranked Wisconsin Badgers take aim at their 11th consecutive victory this Saturday, as they invade Sam Boyd Stadium to lock horns with the UNLV Rebels in non-league play.
The Badgers got things started in convincing fashion, as they opened the 2007 campaign with a 42-21 triumph over Washington State last weekend. It was the 10th straight season-opening win by Wisconsin, which also won its 10th consecutive game overall dating back to last season. The 10 victories in a row ranks third to only Boise State (14) and BYU (11) for the longest active winning streak in the nation. In fact, the Badgers are 21-1 in their last 22 regular-season non-conference games, including wins in the last 13 straight. Ironically, the team's only loss during that stretch came against UNLV, 23-5, at home in 2003.
Speaking of the Rebels, they opened the '07 season on a high note as well, posting a 23-16 triumph at Utah State on August 30th. The victory snapped a 15-game road losing streak that dated back to '04 and marked the team's first-ever road win under third-year head coach Mike Sanford. As far as home openers go, UNLV is 25-14 all-time and it has won its last two.
This game marks the eighth all-time meeting between Wisconsin and UNLV on the gridiron, with the Badgers holding a 5-2 series advantage. The teams last met in Madison in '04, a game won by Wisconsin, 18-3.
Offensively, the Badgers were in complete control during their season-opening win over Washington State, as they rolled up 486 yards while possessing the ball for over 36 minutes. The team was effective on the ground (182 yards) as well as through the air (304) and it earned 25 first downs. Senior quarterback Tyler Donovan showed he can be the main guy under center by throwing for 284 yards and a career-high three touchdowns. Donovan, who started two games last season and is replacing three-year starter John Stocco, completed 19-of-29 pass attempts and also rushed for a touchdown in the victory. His main target was Luke Swan, who set career highs with eight catches for 170 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Tailback P.J. Hill paced the ground attack, as he rushed for 84 yards and two scores on 21 carries. The 5-11, 240-pound Hill was one of the top freshmen in the nation last season, rushing for 1,569 yards and 15 touchdowns.
Wisconsin allowed Washington State to score on two long first-quarter drives, but after that, the defense gave up just one touchdown through the final three quarters of a 42-21 triumph. Still, the Badgers, who return seven starters from last year's fifth-ranked defense (253.1 ypg), were beat for 328 yards by the Cougars. The unit gave up 157 yards on the ground and recorded only one turnover and a sack. Although the UW defense didn't play up to expectations in the first game, big things are expected from this top tier unit as the season progresses. Elijah Hodge paced the Badgers in victory with seven tackles and 1.5 TFLs.
Frank Summers scurried 11 yards for a score with 1:02 remaining in regulation, lifting UNLV to a 23-16 victory over Utah State. Summers finished the game with 40 yards on 10 carries, but it was quarterback Travis Dixon who stole the show. Dixon, a versatile redshirt freshman, showed how electric he can be, rushing for a team-high 129 yards and a score on 22 carries and throwing for 141 yards on 12-of-20 pass attempts. He accounted for nearly all of the team's 314 yards of total offense. As a whole, UNLV rushed or 173 yards in the contest and that is certainly an encouraging sign for a team that averaged a mere 89.5 rushing ypg in '06. On a down note, the Rebels struggled greatly on third down, converting just 3-of-14 attempts. If they can't do better this weekend, the Rebels may find it hard to stay on the field against this talented Wisconsin defense.
The Rebels put forth a solid effort on defense in their opener, as they held Utah State to just 234 yards of total offense. UNLV, which ranked a dismal 96th in total defense (387.3 ypg) last season, surrendered just 97 yards on 40 carries to Utah State. The defense also made a few big plays, as it finished with two forced fumbles and four sacks. Tony Cade led the way with 10 stops, while Beau Bell added nine tackles and a pair of forced fumbles.
<< Vols seek first win of season against Golden Eagles
Knoxville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles fly
into Knoxville this weekend for a non-conference battle with a group of
Tennessee Volunteers who are undoubtedly eager to take the field.
Southern Miss
<< Tigers to feast on Warhawks
Clemson, SC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Coming off a big win and a short week, the
25th-ranked Clemson Tigers try to avoid a letdown, as they host the UL-
Monroe Warhawks in non-league play.
The Tigers enter the game on a high note
<< Gators hope to put bite on Trojans
Gainesville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Every team wants a chance to knock off the
champion, and the Troy Trojans will have that opportunity in Gainesville
this weekend against the fourth-ranked Florida Gators.
Florida represents t
<< Lone Star State rivals lock horns in Austin
Austin, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Intrastate foes collide in Austin this Saturday,
as the 19th-ranked TCU Horned Frogs challenge the seventh-ranked Texas
Longhorns in non-conference action from Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial
Stad
Mountain State rivals clash in Huntington >>
Huntington, WV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The mighty West Virginia Mountaineers,
ranked third nationally, will take on in-state foe Marshall on Saturday in a
non-conference affair.
As expected, West Virginia rolled to victory in
2007 Women's World Cup Preview - Sweden >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sweden forward Victoria Svensson will take on a larger role
this year with the retirement of a number of World Cup veterans, but on FIFA's
website she said she was still optimistic that "this could be our year."
Sweden lo
Giants, Jets break ground for new stadium >>
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The owners of the New York Giants and
New York Jets broke ground Wednesday at the site for their new stadium, just a
few hundred yards from their current home at the Meadowlands in northern New
Jersey.
Rudd to miss race at RIR >>
Charlotte, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After starting his 900th race last week at
the California Speedway, Ricky Rudd will be forced to sit out this week's
event at the Richmond International Raceway due to an injured left shoulder.
It wil
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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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